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Cake day: August 2nd, 2023

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  • The Democratic nominee had an advantage of 19 to 29 points over her Republican rival, according to tallies by ABC News-Ipsos, New York Times-Siena College and CNN.

    The lead is larger than the one Hillary Clinton had over Donald Trump in the run-up to the 2016 election when polls showed the Democratic nominee leading with 8 to 16 points.

    Joe Biden had a greater margin in late 2020 polls when Democrats embraced mail voting, while Trump attacked it and persuaded his supporters not to do it.

    Ok, so basically Democrats always have an advantage in early voting and it’s hard to know what to make of this. It’s pretty much exactly what you’d expect given that 2016 was before Trump heavily politicized early and mail-in voting and 2020 was during the pandemic when Democrats were less likely to want to go to crowded polling places because of the whole believing Covid exists thing.




  • Because of slavery, basically. The US couldn’t have a directly-elected president at founding because that would mean slaveholding states would get less power per person actually living there, unless they wanted to let slaves vote which of course they wouldn’t. So 3/5ths compromise, electoral college, yadda yadda yadda, and 250 years later power still is filtered through the states. So now that that’s the case, giving any new people voting rights would change the power balance between the slaveholders right and abolitionists left. So as a result, places like PR that have an abnormal amount of minorities Democratic voters tend to be unable to get Congress to grant them voting rights.















  • It really comes down to feature removal. Elon annihilated Twitter’s staff, and the more features they can cut, the less staff they need. It may not seem like much to maintain a block feature, and if you have a staff, it’s not. But you do need to have probably some sort of blocker backend service, a blocking UI, probably an unblocking UI (I dunno if that’s a thing I don’t use twitter), storage that keeps track of who blocked who, and somebody who knows how all that works.