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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • It’s not at all unusual to have to replace resigning school board members. But they must be taking advantage of a loophole to have the Governor do the appointment directly.

    Under state law, the governor can appoint someone to fill a vacant state or county seat if there’s less than 28 months left in the term for that office.

    According to the article, the election was just held in August. This tells me that the school board term must only be 2 years, if there is less tha 28 months left to it 3 months in. So, anyone who resigns from any school board whose term is that short will have their successor picked by the Govenor? It seems like a law that is only in place as a power grab for the governor.

    I can understand not wanting to run a board short one member or paying for a special election in a school district for a short period of time. But that law should be limited to a much shorter period, like 8 or 10 months left in the term.




  • The whole article is worth a read, I picked up on this in particular:

    Harris holds on to the support of nearly all Democrats, with 97% saying they will support her and 0% saying they will support Trump.
    But she also gets 5% of Republicans who say they will vote for her over Trump. Trump holds 89% of Republicans.

    All you folks who are wondering why Harris was so eager to work with the Cheneys and other Republicans and move further to the center, this is why. That 5% probably makes up a good portion of the difference between this poll and prior polls (along with the 6% of Republicans there who woudl vote for neither.) Trump is trying to cast Harris as a far left, communist, radical choice. But when she is on stage with Liz Cheney, it shows everyone how absurd that characterization is.

    If she does in fact win Iowa, and other states that weren’t considered toss-ups, it will be directly due to that outreach across the aisle.


  • Another problem with polls is that the poll takers were off the mark in both of the last two elections, generally towards the Democratic side. So some of them compensate not by modifying their methodology, but by goosing the numbers by the same amount in the other direction this time around. They might say “Hey, we underestimated the guy by 2% in this state last time, so let’s give him a 2% mulligan”.

    If you know polling is an inexact science, and you were wrong consistently in one direction twice in a row, it is better for your reputation if you are off in the other direction this time.



  • Also, getting pregnant in your thirties is risky business so abortion is by and large a youth issue, because it impacts young women more then older women.

    I’d argue differently. Free access to abortion affects all women. Obviously young women in their prime child-bearing years are affected, but older women are more likely to have complications which make access to medical abortion a life-or-death issue. And the oldest remember what life was like before the Roe decision. So it is not surprising that women of all ages are viewing this election as if their lives depended on it.


  • Osborn will be a weird case. He’s pledged as an independant to “not caucus with either side”, but that’s not the way the Senate works. He will have to organize with one side or another, to get committee assignments. Everyone assumes he will organize with Democrats because Democrats did not run a candidate against him, but we’re not really gonna know if/until we get there.

    If Democrats pick up a other seat to get to 51/49 and win the Presidency, it won’t matter so much. Osborn can maintain his independence and still probably get thrown a few good assignments by Schumer. But if his decision (or lack of one) will make a difference, we should expect both sides to actively negotiate with him for his vote to organize the chamber.