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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • The whole idea of nuclear ICBM warfare and MAD is that you are prepared to launch at least some of your missiles before your attack capability can be removed. So, to maintain MAD capability, at least some of your missiles have to be launch capable at any time in order to effectively respond to a first strike. Of course, that readiness level can be increased if the perceived threat is higher. What that means is that a response strike needs to be able to launch in less than 30 minutes. Two hours is very generous. The first strike advantage is that you can launch most of your missiles. The MAD doctrine assures that all victories on this stage are pyrrhic.






  • This varies from region to region. My region is primarily hydro, in fact, about 0.1% is non-renewable. So, depending on where you live, electricity may be more thermally efficient than ICE. Also, you’re ignoring the pollution control aspect. Even if your hybrid is more thermally efficient, it will still generate more pollution than any electrical generation method except perhaps coal, and I’m not certain about that. Your car’s ICE engine also won’t benefit from any of the upgrades to the electrical grid, while your electric car will. This also may not matter in some regions, since some places like America in general, don’t expect to see a reduction in coal use for a decade or more. And yes, I’m aware that the electricity generation mix in America varies a great deal from region to region.


  • And there’s the real answer. I don’t think anyone is paying for their Starlink account with a wad of cash in a back alley. They will probably give people some number of days to close their accounts and sending notices to banks and credit cards to not accept payments for Starlink from Brazilian accounts or some other means of interfering with payments. Things will likely escalate from there with fines not dissimilar to those with Twitter and other methods to deter people from using the services illegally. There may well be some political elements, as well, but I’m not sure how important Brazil is to America to make that happen.